UThomas Daniels

Ipapashwe ngomhla: 11/09/2025
Yabelana ngayo!
By Ipapashwe ngomhla: 11/09/2025
Ixesha(GMT+0/UTC+0)imekoukubalulekaEventForecastegqithileyo
04:30🇯🇵2 pointsImveliso yoShishino (MoM) (Julayi)-1.6%-1.6%
11:30🇨🇳2 pointsIimali-mboleko ezitsha (Aug)750.0B-50.0B
14:00??????2 pointsUlindelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuNyaka om-1 eMichigan (Sep)----4.8%
14:00??????2 pointsUlindelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuNyaka om-5 eMichigan (Sep)----3.5%
14:00??????2 pointsUlindelo lwabaThengi baseMichigan (Sep)----55.9
14:00??????2 pointsUluvo lwabathengi baseMichigan (Sep)58.058.2
16:00??????2 pointsINgxelo yeWASDE--------
17:00??????2 pointsUS Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count----414
17:00??????2 pointsUS Baker Hughes Total Rig Count----537
19:30??????2 pointsCFTC Ioyile eKrwada izithuba eziqikelelwayo----102.4K
19:30??????2 pointsCFTC Gold izithuba eqikelelwayo net----249.5K
19:30??????2 pointsCFTC Nasdaq 100 izithuba eqikelelwayo net----15.4K
19:30??????2 pointsI-CFTC S&P 500 izithuba eziqikelelwayo-----161.1K
19:30🇦🇺2 pointsIzikhundla ze-CFTC AUD eziqikelelwayo-----82.7K
19:30🇯🇵2 pointsIzikhundla ze-CFTC JPY eziqikelelwayo----73.3K
19:30🇪🇺2 pointsCFTC EUR izithuba eziqikelelwayo net----119.6K

Isishwankathelo sezehlo zoQoqosho ezizayo kwi Septemba 12, 2025

Asia - Japan kunye ne China

Imveliso yoShishino lwaseJapan (MoM, Jul) - 04:30 UTC

  • Uqikelelo: -1.6% (ngaphambili -1.6%)
  • Impact: Akukho tshintsho lulindelekileyo. Imveliso ebuthathaka ibonisa ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwimveliso kunye nemfuno yehlabathi, enobunzima beJPY. Ufundo oluzinzileyo kodwa olungalunganga lucebisa uxinzelelo olusezantsi kwizabelo zamashishini aseJapan kunye nabathengisi ngaphandle kwemizimveliso.

I-China New Loans (Aug) - 11:30 UTC

  • Uqikelelo: 750B (ngaphambili -50B)
  • Impact: Imbuyekezo eyomeleleyo evela kwimiqondiso yemali-mboleko engalunganga ihlaziye ukukhula kwetyala.
    • Ukubolekwa okuphezulu → kukhulisa ukukhula okulindelweyo, ixhasa i-CNY kunye ne-Asian equities.
    • Ushicilelo olungenamandla → yomeleza uloyiko olucothayo, i-bearish kwizinto zorhwebo kunye nee-asethi zomngcipheko.

I-United States-Imvakalelo yabaThengi, ezoLimo kunye naMandla

Uvavanyo lweYunivesithi yaseMichigan (Sep) - 14:00 UTC

  • Unyaka o-1 olindelekileyo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso: ngaphambili 4.8%
  • Unyaka o-5 olindelekileyo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso: ngaphambili 3.5%
  • Ulindelo lwabathengi: Uqikelelo 55.9 (ngaphambili 55.9)
  • Uluvo loMthengi: Uqikelelo 58.0 (ngaphambili 58.2)
  • Impact:
    • Ukunyuka okulindelweyo kwixabiso lentengo → yomeleza i-USD, inyusa izivuno, icinezela izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo.
    • Ukuphucula uvakalelo → ukumilisela izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo. Uluvo olubuthathaka luya kubonisa imbonakalo yemfuno ebuthathaka.

INgxelo ye-WASDE - 16:00 UTC

  • Impact: Unikezelo lwezityalo lwe-USDA / uhlaziyo lwemfuno lunokuhambisa izinto zolimo (umbona, ingqolowa, iimbotyi zesoya). Ubonelelo oluphezulu → i-bearish yamaxabiso; ubonelelo olusezantsi → ukunyuswa, okunokuthi kunyuse okulindelweyo kwixabiso lentengo.

UBaker Hughes Rig Count - 17:00 UTC

  • Izixhobo ze-oyile: ngaphambili 414
  • IiRigs zizonke: ngaphambili 537
  • Impact: Ukunyuka kwamanani esixhobo → imveliso ephezulu yase-US, enobunzima obukrwada. Iirigs eziwayo → i-bullish yamaxabiso eoli.

CFTC Positioning Data - 19:30 UTC

  • Izikhundla eziThelekelelwayo ze-Oyile eKrwada: ngaphambili 102.4K
  • Izikhundla zeGold Net eziqikelelwayo: ngaphambili 249.5K
  • Izikhundla zeSalathiso soBulungisa (Nasdaq, S&P 500): bonisa uluvo oluqikelelwayo malunga nezabelo zamashishini ase-US.
  • Izikhundla eziqikelelwayo zeFX (AUD, JPY, EUR): bonisa i-hedge fund positioning, ibalulekile kwi-FX market trend analysis.

Uhlalutyo lweMpembelelo yeMarike

  • Asia: Gxininisa ekubolekeni kwakhona kwemali yaseTshayina. Ukuba iiMali-mboleko eziNtsha zidlula uqikelelo, umdla womngcipheko uyaphucuka kwiimveliso kunye neemali zaseAsia-Pacific. Ushicilelo olungenamandla lunokubangela ukuthiywa komngcipheko wehlabathi.
  • US: Ulindelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso eMichigan kunye neemvakalelo zabathengi ziya kubumba imbonakalo yeFed. I-WASDE yongeza kwimingcipheko yexabiso lentengo eqhutywa yimveliso. Irig count kunye nokuhamba kweCFTC kuphembelela amandla kunye neentsimbi.
  • Ukubekwa kweDatha: Ubude begolide ephezulu + i-equities ebuthathaka indawo ebonisa ukuba ukhuseleko lomngcipheko luhlala luhlala kwiimarike.

Inqaku leMpembelelo xa lilonke: 7/10

  • Ngoba: Akukho "tier-1" ekhutshwa njengeCPI okanye isigqibo seFed, kodwa Ityala laseTshayina liphinda-phindwa, Ulindelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US, yaye amandla / uhlaziyo lwempahla ukubonelela ngabaqhubi abaninzi beemvakalelo zomngcipheko, iimarike zentengiso, kunye neFX.