UJeremy Oles

Ipapashwe ngomhla: 10/09/2025
Yabelana ngayo!
By Ipapashwe ngomhla: 10/09/2025
Ixesha(GMT+0/UTC+0)imekoukubalulekaEventForecastegqithileyo
08:00??????2 pointsIngxelo yeNyanga ye-IEA--------
11:00??????2 pointsIngxelo yeNyanga ye-OPEC--------
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsUmyinge woncedo lwediphozithi (Sep)2.00%2.00%
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsI-ECB Marginal yokuBoleka iZiko----2.40%
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsIngxelo yoMgaqo-nkqubo weMali we-ECB--------
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsIsigqibo seNzala ye-ECB (Sep)2.15%2.15%
12:30??????2 pointsUkuqhubekeka kwaMabango angenamsebenzi----1,940K
12:30??????2 pointsCore CPI (MoM) (Aug)0.3%0.3%
12:30??????2 pointsI-CPI engundoqo (YoY) (Aug)----3.1%
12:30??????2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Aug)0.3%0.2%
12:30??????2 pointsCPI (YoY) (Aug)2.9%2.7%
12:30??????2 pointsAmabango okuqala angenamsebenzi234K237K
12:45🇪🇺2 pointsIngqungquthela yeendaba yeECB--------
14:15🇪🇺2 pointsUMongameli we-ECB uLagarde Uyathetha--------
17:00??????2 pointsIfandesi yeBhondi yoNyaka engama-30----4.813%
18:00??????2 pointsIbhalansi yoHlahlo lwabiwo-mali lukarhulumente (Agasti)-305.7B-291.0B
20:30??????2 pointsIphepha loMncono weFed----6,602B
22:30🇳🇿2 pointsIshishini NZ PMI (Aug)----52.8
22:45🇳🇿2 pointsIintengiso zeKhadi le-Electronic (MoM) (Aug)----0.2%

Isishwankathelo sezehlo zoQoqosho ezizayo kwi Septemba 11, 2025

Iimarike zamandla - IEA kunye neeNgxelo ze-OPEC

  • Ingxelo yeNyanga ye-IEA - 08:00 UTC
  • Ingxelo yeNyanga ye-OPEC - 11:00 UTC
  • Impact: Zombini iingxelo ziya kuhlaziya imfuno / imbonakalo yokubonelela ngeoyile.
    • Uhlaziyo lwe-Bullish (imfuno ephezulu, unikezelo oluphantsi) → amaxabiso akrwada aphezulu, iCAD/NOK eyomeleleyo, kunye nezabelo zamandla.
    • Uhlaziyo lwe-Bearish → uxinzelelo kwi-oyile kunye nemvakalelo yomngcipheko.

IYurophu - IziGqibo zoMgaqo-nkqubo we-ECB

Isigqibo seRhafu ye-ECB (Sep) - 12:15 UTC

  • Ixabiso leDiphozithi yoncedo: 2.00% (efanayo)
  • Ixabiso eliphambili: 2.15% (efanayo)
  • Impact: Akukho tshintsho lulindelekileyo. Ukugxila kwimarike kutshintshela ku:
    • INkcazelo yoMgaqo-nkqubo wezeMali we-ECB kunye neNkomfa kaLagarde yeCofa (12:45 & 14:15 UTC).
    • Ithoni ye-Hawkish → inkxaso ye-EUR, ibhondi ivelisa.
    • Ithoni ye-Dovish → I-EUR iyathamba, izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo zinokudibana.

EUnited States – Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, abasebenzi kunye neeBonds

Idatha ye-CPI (Aug) - 12:30 UTC

  • I-CPI engundoqo (MoM): 0.3% (efanayo)
  • I-CPI (YoY): 2.9% (ngaphambili 2.7%)
  • Impact:
    • I-CPI eshushu → I-Fed hawkishness ivuselelwe, i-USD phezulu, izivuno ziyenyuka, izabelo zinyanzelisiwe.
    • I-CPI ethambileyo → i-USD buthathaka, i-equities up, i-bonds rally.

Amabango angenamsebenzi - 12:30 UTC

  • Eyokuqala: 234K (ngaphambili 237K)
  • Iyaqhuba: ~1.94M (ngaphambili 1.94M)
  • Impact: Amabango azinzileyo = ukomelela kwemarike yabasebenzi → kunciphisa igumbi leFed ukuba libe lula. I-Spike ephezulu iya kuxhasa ulindelo lwe-dovish.

IFandesi yeBond yeminyaka engama-30 - 17:00 UTC

  • Isivuno sangaphambili: 4.813%
  • Impact: Umlinganiselo weendleko zexesha elide zokuboleka. Imfuno ebuthathaka → izivuno eziphezulu, uxinzelelo kwizabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo. Imfuno eyomeleleyo → irali yoncedo kwiibhondi kunye nezabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo.

Ibhalansi yeBhajethi ye-Federal (Aug) - 18:00 UTC

  • Uqikelelo: -305.7B (ngaphambili -291B)
  • Impact: Iintsilelo ezinkulu → iinkxalabo zamatyala exesha elide, zinokulingana neebhondi kunye noluvo lweUSD.

I-Fed Balance Sheet - 20:30 UTC

  • Previous: $ 6,602B
  • Impact: I-Shrinkage ixhasa ukunyibilika okuqinileyo, ukwandiswa kuya kubonisa ukukhululeka.

ENew Zealand – IiMeko zeShishini

Ishishini NZ PMI (Aug) - 22:30 UTC

  • Previous: 52.8
  • Impact: Ngaphezulu kwe-50 = ukwandiswa, ukuxhasa i-NZD. Ukuthambekela okubuthathaka kuya kwenzakalisa uluvo lwe-NZD.

Iintengiso zeKhadi le-Electronic Card (Aug) - 22:45 UTC

  • Previous: + 0.2%
  • Impact: Ibonakalisa amandla emfuno yabathengi; phezulu ixhasa NZD.

Uhlalutyo lweMpembelelo yeMarike

  • Amandla: I-IEA kunye ne-OPEC zinokuqhuba ukuguquguquka kweoyile kwangoko.
  • I-ECB: Isigqibo senqanaba sinokuzinza, kodwa ithoni yeLagarde iya kumisela umkhombandlela we-EUR.
  • US: CPI nguye umqhubi wemarike engundoqo yosuku. Iifandesi zeebhondi kunye nentsilelo yemali yomeleza amandla emveliso kaNondyebo.
  • NZ: Impembelelo yesibini, kodwa idatha yokuthengisa inokuhambisa i-NZD kurhwebo lwaseAsia.

Inqaku leMpembelelo xa lilonke: 9/10

  • Ngoba: I-US CPI, izigqibo zomgaqo-nkqubo we-ECB, kunye nohlaziyo lwemarike yeoli lwenza a usuku lomqhubi kathathu yeFX, izabelo, iibhondi, kunye neemveliso.